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As Massachusetts Goes, Will Illinois?

Well, I'm a little politically hung over from the epic upset in Massachusetts.  It was really great.  During last November's off year elections, Virginia and New Jersey elected R governors, states that not only are typically D, but that Obama carried in the Presidential election less than a year earlier.  I remember the spin about weak candidates and that.  Many of us figured that the health care bill (yeah, everybody's gotta sacrifice.  Except trial lawyers.  They don't have to give up a goddamn thing under the plan) would finally get off the fast track, since the D's would be worried about being voted out.  But it didn't take long for the Juggernaut to start again.

Massachusetts was a message that couldn't be ignored.  The deck is so stacked in favor of the D's there, there is no reason they should lose.  And yet they did.

Obamacare was being pushed through using Chicago Politics (there's a reason it's nicknamed the Chicago Way White House).  However, Chicago Politics works because Chicago doesn't try.  Daley won re-election last time with a record low voter turn out -- estimates are that only 17% of registered voters bothered.  If the remainder had banded together, Daley would have been gone.  But who bothers?  Daley gets his way, like carving up Miegs Field just because he wanted to.  And Obama was pushing Obamacare and was getting it done just because he wanted to.

However, the rest of the country is not Chicago.  They fight back.  And losing the sure thing has sent D's scrambling for cover.

Nancy Pelosi has rolled initiative.  She announced today that the House doesn't have the votes to pass the Senate version of Obamacare.  In other words, don't bother trying to get us to approve it, Harry Reid.  Pelosi has the lowest approval rating of any Speaker Of The House since they started keeping track of that.  Whereas before she flaunted her political untouchability, the Reaper has just tapped her on the shoulder, and now she's in damage control.

I had been worried that it would still be full speed ahead for ObamaCare, that the loss in MA wouldn't dissuade anyone anymore than the losses in Virginia and Joisey did.  Well, there's a full-blown insurrection afoot.  Many D's are screaming to ditch ObamaCare for the moment and focus on rebuilding the economy.  When Obama was running for President, he proposed a bailout package that cost $60 bil.  Instead, he shoved one through Congress that cost $787 bil and was full of loopholes and favoritism.  He said it was needed to keep unemployment from going above 10%.  A few months later, it did anyway.  People realize they are on the hook and want no part of it.  ObamaCare and the corresponding green plans Obama has are dead in the water.

Obama does have a sort of parallel with another President, Ronald Reagan.  Both came into the job with an economy out of control and both had approval ratings in the basement after only a year in office.  But Reagan campaigned to revive American business and cut back on government intrusion.  Obama wants more intrusion and isn't reviving business so much as sustaining what is already there.

Now, the question I'm wondering about is, what happens in Illinois?

Illinois is run by a biparty Combine, headed by the D's and subservient R's.  People get into Illinois politics for the kickbacks and graft.  We had a Senator, Peter Fitzgerald, who took his job seriously, getting us AG's that were out to clean up corruption in Illinois.  He didn't run for re-election because the sleazemiesters opposed him at every turn and it wore him out.  He had no support, so the seat went to Barack Obama.

We have several political insiders trying to present themselves as outsiders to the electorate with primaries in this state happening on Feb 2.  Do we wind up with nominees that truly want to reform the system, or people who reform in name only?

Illinois is in play, the only other safe haven for politically connected D's after the fall of Massachusetts.  But the Tea Parties are clearly having an effect.  Notice that the D's in general and the TV networks in bed with them are no longer treating them as a joke.  The question is, will they be effective here in Illinois?  The election is going to be very very interesting....

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